North Korea could conduct an intercontinental ballistic missile test or even a nuclear test in an attempt to overtake US President Joe Biden’s upcoming visit to South Korea, an expert told CNBC on Friday.
“They have already tested two intercontinental ballistic missiles earlier this year and we are looking at tunneling activity in preparation for the nuclear test,” Bruce Klingner, a senior research fellow at The Heritage Foundation, told CNBC’s Street Science Asia on Friday.
He added that such tests would be aimed at “shading” Biden’s travels.
During Biden’s first trip to Asia as president, the White House is preparing for such a move by North Korea.
“Our intelligence reflects the real possibility that there will be either a missile test or a nuclear test, or both,” U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan told reporters Wednesday, a day before Biden’s departure for Asia.
Biden arrived in Seoul on Friday on a three-day visit to South Korea and will travel to Tokyo, Japan on Sunday.
He is attending a quad summit hosted by Japan, where leaders of the four-nation quadripartite security dialogue are meeting. It is a strategic grouping of the United States, Australia, Japan and India aimed at countering China’s military presence in the Indo-Pacific region.
Klingner of the Heritage Foundation says the United States wants to talk to Pyongyang about a range of issues, including nuclear disarmament, and that North Korea is unwilling to engage with the United States or South Korea at this stage.
“They can choose [conduct the tests] During Biden’s visit to divert attention from the purpose [of the trip] দেশে In both countries, “he said Biden has to respond to North Korea’s move.
Klingner, a former CIA officer, also said a test by North Korea would try to signal that the isolated country was fighting a “strong” Kovid-19 outbreak despite recent reports that it was “strong.”
He added that under newly elected President Eun Seok-yul, South Korea would build closer ties with the United States, adding that a strong alliance with Washington would lay the “foundation” for its relations with other countries, such as North Korea, China and Japan. .
“Yoon says he is firmly united with the United States and has died of strategic ambiguity,” Klinger said.
There is no possibility of an attack on Taiwan
Defense expert Derek Grossman also dismissed the possibility China’s aggression on Taiwan while the world’s attention is focused on Russia’s attack on Ukraine – which Japan warned in the run-up to the Quad conference.
Grossman, who was also a Pentagon intelligence adviser, pointed to the difficulty of launching an amphibious attack of any size.
“Russia has an adjacent land border with Ukraine, Where China has to cross the Taiwan Strait, which is 100 miles long, “he told CNBC’s” Capital Connection “on Friday, adding that the success history of amphibious landings is discouraging.
“But China is closely monitoring Ukraine, as is Taiwan,” Grossman said. “For China, it is clear that there will be international criticism and that the United States and its allies will try to isolate Russia from the international economy, just as it has imposed sanctions on Russia,” he said.