Russia has “significant firepower” and is reluctant to talk of defeating the country, according to a former Soviet economic adviser.
Jeffrey Shass, now a professor of economics at Columbia University, says the United States believes it can defeat Russia militarily and that the West is supporting Ukraine in its efforts to push Russia out.
“With that in mind, Ukraine decided not to hold talks,” he told CNBC’s Street Sciences Asia on Friday. Instead, Ukraine “changed its tune and said that now, their goal is to defeat Russia.”
“This means an escalation of war, an increase in global danger, an increase in economic collapse and a lost opportunity to find an off-ramp of this conflict as it was already taking shape,” Schach said.
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said this week that he did not anticipate peace talks in Ukraine in the near future.
Ukraine’s Defense Ministry and White House did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment, which was sent after office hours.
At the moment there is no off-ramp from the “clear US war goal”, and this is a dangerous situation, Shas says.
“I’ve lived through decades of reckless U.S. foreign policy, U.S. adventure, and I’m afraid we’re in it again,” he said. “It’s not about indulging in Russian aggression. “
“I believe the dangers are too great and there are too many fools at the moment and Ukraine has bought it.”
The professor said there could be a lot of destruction, loss of life and “grave danger for the whole world”, in the form of economic spillovers.
Jeffrey Sass of Columbia University says Russia has “significant firepower” and is reluctant to talk about defeating the country.
Tian Bing | China News Service | Getty Images
He added that Finland’s expected bid to join NATO makes it difficult to reach a negotiated conclusion and that it brings NATO and Russia “on the edge of the knife”.
Not everyone agrees.
Mishal Baranovsky of the German Marshall Fund says a possible NATO expansion in the Nordic countries reduces the likelihood of a conflict with Russia.
Instead, if countries like Finland and Sweden are not part of the alliance, Russia is more likely to clash with them, he told CNBC’s “Capital Connection” on Friday.
“Bring Sweden and Finland [into NATO] It makes our alliance more secure and less likely to lead to a military confrontation with Russia, although it is clear that Russia will not like it, “said Baranowski, a senior fellow.